Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Maybe this auto problem is all wrong?

The big three auto makers saunter down to the Capitol today to beg for money from the American people via our elected "representatives"! Last time around, these CEO's caught a lot of flak for flying to Washington in private jets. The implication was that it was bad taste to beg after taking your private jet ... never mind that the jets belong to the companies. So, the talking heads and the politicians were pontificating on the use of these jets. Well, I don't normally come to the defense of the CEO's, but the trip was not about their use of jets, it was to get money from the people. The CEO's use the jets so that they can travel from smaller airports. This avoids delays, masks their trip routes to some extent (good when you want a deal to be kept from your competitors), and increase their personal safety (they are well paid and famous ...). All in all, this is a time, and, at their salaries, a cost savings especially since they have to pay for the jet even if it is not used (they could sell it, though). Anyway, so this time they are DRIVING from Detroit to Washington. That is a great use of their time.

So, the talking heads all say that the problem is that the car companies are mis-managed. They don't make the right products and their labor costs are too high, especially for retirees. I am looking at it a bit differently. They do make the right product mix. SUV's, that bad word, are not all gas guzzlers ... the hybrids were relatively fuel efficient, just not quite enough in production when we hit the skyrocketing gas prices over the past summer. They have small cars, but nobody normally wants them except as a starter car for a teenager. Only with the wierd market did we see a shift, and, again, the product mix was wrong. By the way, it was also wrong for the foreign cars (I don't call them imports since they are made in Texas, Tennessee, South Carolina, etc). Toyota heavily advertises its huge truck, the Tundra, and nobody seems upset by that (maybe the Sierra Club). So, timing may be bad, but they do have the right cars ... small, luxury, SUV, minivan, truck, etc.

They do have too many models. For General Motors, we have Chevrolet, Pontiac, Buick, Cadillac, Saturn, etc. The Chevy is always the basic model, the Pontiac the sporty one, the Buick the luxury one ... all for the same basic car. Scale up a Chevy with options and you have a Buick with a slightly different paint scheme. Compare with Honda where you have Honda and Acura or with Toyota where you have Toyota and Lexus (I think) or BMW where all you get is a BMW. So, Detroit may have too many brands. Time to sink this concept.

Detroit also has a fast follower mentality. They want their cars to look like the Asian or European style, with a few notable exceptions (Mustang, Corvette). Without a unique style, they are just a "me too" offering, up against the still stinging reputation for having quality inferior to the Asian cars (whether true or not ... perception is truth to consumers).

Detroit has higher costs due to large distribution networks, labor costs, and retiree costs. If one generates a value curve for a business, if you have higher costs (that is you are not the low cost producer), you must bring more value to achieve preference. The value can be quality, safety, leading-edge technology, green philosophy, style, market leader for new concepts, etc. The big three are none of these and therein lies their demise.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The management styles are also quite different due to the responsibilities to share holders. Japanese and Korean companies usually hoard cash, especially after their experience with the Asian Economic Crisis in the 1990s. Japanese and Korean companies also do not have as much pressure from shareholders to issue dividends and what not. The big-3 are probably pressured to either spend the cash they have or pay out dividends to the shareholders.

If you ask me, the problem is that the big-three have no car that is really innovative or completely new. They're just living off of their brands. The hybrids were great ideas, especially in the EU and Japan where there is more peer-pressue for "green" life-styles. India's Tata motors also has a great idea, the Nano. It just might be popular around the world wide due to the cost and its size. The big-3 just seem to be sitting around waiting for the bad times to roll away, hoping for business to resume as usual.

I suspect at the end of the day they're going to get their bailout. Those CEOs are just going to have to be humble and accept whatever humiliation congress throws at them.